High Representative of the European Union Josep Borrell recently said, “Europe is facing a situation in which we can say that the old Empires are coming back. At least three of them: Russia, China and Turkey; big empires of the past that are coming back with an approach on their immediate neighborhood, globally, which represent for us a new environment.” This statement most certainly calls for interpretation.
But does everybody speak “that language”? The trials carried out by media with their “guests” barely scratch the surface.
Russia, China, and Turkey are “at least three of them.” In other words, there are others as well! Is this trio considered by the West as a future, a front, a rival, or an alliance?
Planning geopolitical power relations requires finesse.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi was in Moscow on Sept. 10-11. Following meetings between Moscow and China, a joint statement was made. Or so it seemed. What was really made was a strategic declaration, as a matter of fact, it was a proclamation. (Russian Foreign Ministry official website, Sept. 11, 2020, No:1427)
A careful read clearly shows how the two superpowers positioned their relations in a global geopolitical context.
Even though comprehending China-Russian relations is critical in terms of predicting the future, it will not receive much attention in Turkey, and most are of the opinion that their ties won’t go far. We can presume that this notion will change upon Borrell’s statements. The joint declaration clearly boosts the two countries’ relations to the highest level in both their histories. With all due respect, it could be said that the “Sept. 11” declaration is a new qualitative stage in the strategic cooperation between China and Russia.
There is no doubt that the global turbulence further strengthen. The joint declaration presents 12 primary foreign policy perceptions. Some, including the meaning underlying Borrell’s statements, tell us, tell Turkey not only the trajectory of the course, but the course itself.
The declaration includes an objection to a Western campaign that “undermines, falsifies” the Soviet Union’s role in World War II. This attack, which says, “it did not save Europe, as a matter of fact, it betrayed it,” is rejected by both China and Russia!
This systematic operation, which undermines the Soviets’ role in the Great War is generally being instilled in Poland and Baltic countries. It consolidates and militarizes anti-Russian sentiment.
The joint declaration guarantees that Russia and China “will not allow anybody to revise the outcomes of World War II, as stated in the UN Terms and other international documents.”
What follows is even more interesting.
Russia and China strongly indicate that Germany and Japan are in a gradual transition process from stagnant to aggressive militarism.
This is truly an incredible situation, and the mention of these four countries in the same sentence should be enough to raise hairs due to historical stimuli alone!
Thus, it is much easier to make sense of why the U.S. drained the heart of the Cold War from Germany in the post-World War II order, withdrew its troops, and “moved to Warsaw, ‘the heart of the iron curtain.’”
To facilitate the work cut out for Berlin of course!
Now we need to ponder how Germany is going to position itself in the world in the short-term future. Likewise, we need to carefully monitor France’s blind ambition in its demand with respect to EU leadership.
We need to see that Germany, which is soon going to shift to the post-Angela Merkel period, is capable of switching from “stand-by” to “active” mode, not just as an economic superpower but to utilize its strategic perspective and actively shape the global order.
Rather than the general acknowledgment that Germany wants to maintain relations with Russia in spite of the U.S., we need to consider the likelihood that “it can take up a position directly opposing Russia.” In 75 years, we might write that German imperialism has started to regain consciousness, even if it hasn’t completely awaken from its slumber.
Germany’s elites will do whatever they can, “both at home and abroad,” for the country capital’s interests, the country’s main pillar. The German military included.
German-U.S. tensions and the U.S. withdrawing its troops from Germany is, in reality, operating like an excuse to accelerate Germany’s plans to take up arms once more. In fact, there are ominous increases in Germany’s recent weapons expenses.
Though Trump’s withdrawal of troops initially seems to be an act of defiance against Germany, it disturbs the pacifist sleep. It is difficult to predict how the German public will perceive this change. However, capitalism’s deep crisis, increasing international tensions and the pandemic seem to be turning German elites towards militarism in the name of securing their forces.
Since China has also signed the declaration, Japan needs to be positioned against it. Thus, we find the Asia-Pacific response to the U.S.-EU-NATO curves.
Is there a Japanese militarism that is on a similar rise? As is known, after its grave defeat in World War II, Tokyo maintained its pacifist perspective for years. However, in recent years, it has been breaking out of its shell. A series of new laws have been introduced, constitutional obstacles are being reviewed, and the defense system has been reinforced. Japan is going to spend $240 billion on its military until 2025.
Like Germany, Japan was an empire as well!
Of course, the deal between Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the Deal of the Century (Middle East), the East Mediterranean, and Libya are also included in this map. It is the third part of the puzzle and it is being joined. However, what do the comments and discussions made specifically regarding these two crises according to this map say to the Turkish public?
They are playing from the sidelines.
Hence, Ankara must be referenced for a third time and with pleasure: “It is underlined that the political and economic power order of the world is in a restructuring process, with emphasis on the importance of Turkey developing the mechanisms required for strong preparation in every field within this context.” (National Security Council (MGK) Statement, July 22.)
Source: The Return of the Turkish empire (retracted)
Google web cache: The Return of the Turkish empire